Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.403630 0.516447 0.638297 0.778040 0.932375 1.096308 1.282348
2025-10-12 0.255933 0.408178 0.589275 0.812552 1.073727 1.364073 1.706257
2025-10-19 0.197424 0.370799 0.591078 0.874756 1.217217 1.606894 2.074602
2025-10-26 0.149389 0.334020 0.584439 0.919840 1.335680 1.817838 2.404851
2025-11-02 0.103658 0.287239 0.555379 0.929294 1.405002 1.966310 2.658547
2025-11-09 0.055380 0.219262 0.486292 0.878770 1.394055 2.014613 2.791183
2025-11-16 0.022656 0.159573 0.417608 0.820094 1.366160 2.037303 2.889099
2025-11-23 0.008251 0.125471 0.381304 0.800892 1.384986 2.113911 3.048614
2025-11-30 0.002649 0.107827 0.369009 0.813809 1.444364 2.239547 3.266297
2025-12-07 0.000055 0.086545 0.345481 0.807256 1.475809 2.328908 3.438923
2025-12-14 NaN 0.063166 0.311487 0.781040 1.478078 2.379674 3.562992
2025-12-21 NaN 0.060728 0.321669 0.824379 1.576326 2.552866 3.837800
2025-12-28 NaN 0.060114 0.337396 0.879501 1.695136 2.757649 4.158407
2026-01-04 NaN 0.055881 0.343885 0.919850 1.794108 2.938221 4.450872
2026-01-11 NaN 0.057719 0.365467 0.985140 1.928202 3.164021 4.799287
2026-01-18 NaN 0.055804 0.376915 1.033387 2.038193 3.358796 5.109431
2026-01-25 NaN 0.046397 0.366227 1.043353 2.093119 3.481786 5.329996
2026-02-01 NaN 0.027745 0.320550 0.989642 2.054425 3.481243 5.395136
2026-02-08 NaN 0.013092 0.273059 0.927118 1.999472 3.456945 5.428496
2026-02-15 NaN 0.006877 0.250074 0.906632 2.004693 3.510816 5.559099
2026-02-22 NaN 0.004648 0.245295 0.920415 2.061099 3.632901 5.776209
2026-03-01 NaN 0.002003 0.230665 0.913424 2.085254 3.711257 5.937352
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000179 0.206907 0.885435 2.075885 3.743523 6.038990